THE NEAR ZERO RUTO SURVIVAL AT THE HAGUE

William Samoei Ruto, should finally understand the gravity of the charges Ocampo has prepared against him. For the past several months, the Eldoret north member of parliament has displayed a very confident posture, completely disregarding the Hague process in public. Privately, it is quite certain that the same cannot be said. The charge sheet prepared by Ocampo and his team was enough to silence the majority of the Ocampo six. Ruto has time and again stated that he will be on the ballot next year come what may. With less than a month before the ICC confirms or fails to confirm the charges, it is advisable that everyone holds their breath.

In the meantime, Ocampo has released some evidence against the first three group of suspects namely: Ruto, Kosgey, and Sang. It is in it that you will learn that the violence was well coordinated by among others, a military and media wing. Of course Ruto is said to have headed the military wing. Kosgey deputized him and under them were several generals and the hierarchy continues downwards. The military wing oversaw the purchase of required instruments of war. The financiers were many with Ruto and Kosgey topping the charts.

Now, come to the media wing and this is where our small man comes in.  Arap Sang broadcasted coded messages to his listeners and the intended end user would respond accordingly. Note that this are messages that only those who attended the planning meetings could decode. Prior to the broadcasts, Sang would attend the actual planning meetings where specific people would be given the tasks of calling in live during his show, and further poisoning the minds of reluctant Kalenjins. Sang was exemplary in the execution and that explains why many ordinary Kalenjins can swear the small man never spread hate messages.

All the above information is in fact  an official release by the prosecutor's office. titled ANNEX A

If you thought the above evidence is incriminatory, wait till you hear that Ocampo has another bunch of evidence called Annex B, that has only been released to the judges. So what can get worse than actual dates and venues of when a crime was committed. Definitely not newspaper cuttings and media video clips as has been alleged by some people. If any of that  is to be used, expect it in Annex A, that has already been released. Maybe we should expect video clips not in the public domain or some incredible mpesa transaction records. Don't take that seriously.

The anxiety is in the air but this time round, Ruto is expected to fly out quietly or at least not loud enough to bring business to a stand still at JKIA. Kenyans will be waiting to see which mps will buy a ticket to the Hague and who among them claimed to be so broke to afford paying tax.

The difference between this trip and the last trip is that the confirmation of hearings takes several days. This will not come cheap for even a seasoned millionaire like Ruto. For our small man Arap Sang, the fund raising he was conducting during the last visit will seem like a big joke. Maybe if you have a few coins to spare you can contribute to the Arap Sang Hague Kitty by clicking here.